Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.121396 0.135214 0.149365 0.164901 0.181441 0.198485 0.217339
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.102235 0.121255 0.141481 0.164459 0.189709 0.216488 0.246913
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.090841 0.113721 0.138837 0.168173 0.201224 0.237054 0.278578
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.080353 0.105863 0.134705 0.169246 0.209020 0.252954 0.304722
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.070921 0.098191 0.129902 0.168769 0.214418 0.265684 0.326969
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.063744 0.092467 0.126748 0.169649 0.220919 0.279328 0.350013
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.056731 0.086283 0.122482 0.168711 0.224881 0.289737 0.369119
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.052669 0.083454 0.122007 0.172080 0.233749 0.305729 0.394626
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.047884 0.079259 0.119475 0.172623 0.238981 0.317273 0.414829
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.043421 0.075121 0.116706 0.172600 0.243310 0.327590 0.433486
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.038983 0.070650 0.113198 0.171376 0.245940 0.335709 0.449419
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.035914 0.067874 0.111743 0.172627 0.251537 0.347348 0.469538
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.033896 0.066580 0.112319 0.176645 0.260842 0.363828 0.495941
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030663 0.063194 0.109811 0.176426 0.264641 0.373481 0.514059
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.029035 0.062155 0.110502 0.180437 0.273867 0.389890 0.540506
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026715 0.059819 0.109195 0.181625 0.279356 0.401603 0.561197
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024145 0.056846 0.106788 0.181160 0.282574 0.410401 0.578263
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022171 0.054699 0.105468 0.182098 0.287578 0.421422 0.598093
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019901 0.051823 0.102885 0.181125 0.289933 0.429010 0.613608
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018868 0.051074 0.103493 0.184655 0.298324 0.444336 0.638867
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017261 0.049111 0.102104 0.185226 0.302654 0.454413 0.657524
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015664 0.047005 0.100371 0.185204 0.306113 0.463329 0.674709
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.013960 0.044501 0.097858 0.183923 0.307759 0.469835 0.688810